Economy Tracker

Contents of this page:

  1. Inflation, Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  2. Wage Growth, Average Hourly Earnings
  3. U.S. National Average Gas Prices
  4. National Debt
  5. Tax Legislation and U.S. Government Revenue Collections
  6. Unemployment Rate and Employment-Population Ratio
  7. Stock Market: Trump vs. Biden/Harris
  8. Inflation by Presidential Term (December 1969 to Present)

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Inflation, Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Data source: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar, “CPI, n.s.a.” dataset
Year-over-Year (YoY) means a running 12-month period.
Averages labeled above are calculated geometrically, not arithmetically, because inflation rates are compounded over time.

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Wage Growth, Average Hourly Earnings

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U.S. National Average Gas Prices

Data source: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=emm_epm0_pte_nus_dpg&f=m
Averages in the graph above are simple averages calculated arithmetically.

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National Debt

Annualized values = Total values scaled to 12-month period. Annualized values are more suitable for direct comparison.

National Debt Reported 8/1/2024: $35,059,402,347,142
Cumulative Debt Accumulation
by White House Administration
TotalAnnualized
Biden/Harris$7,306,566,478,697$2,068,777,834,375
Trump (Including COVID)$7,808,406,651,338$1,952,101,662,835
Trump (Before COVID)$3,570,372,773,399$1,122,270,787,852
Obama$9,315,547,731,597$1,164,443,466,450
Bush-43$4,901,104,747,205$612,638,093,401
Values in this table are copied or calculated from values in the table immediately below.

See table below for greater detail on national debt progression.

Record DateNational DebtIncreaseNotes
8/1/2024$35,059,402,347,142$7,306,566,478,697Greatly increased routine spending by
Biden administration, 1/20/2021 – 8/1/2024
1/19/2021$27,752,835,868,445$4,238,033,877,939Last full business day of Trump administration,
COVID spending, 3/27/2020 – 1/19/2021
3/26/2020$23,514,801,990,506$3,570,372,773,399Before Trump signed CARES Act for COVID,
1/20/2017 – 3/26/2020
1/19/2017$19,944,429,217,107$9,315,547,731,597Last full business day of Obama administration,
1/20/2009 – 1/19/2017
1/16/2009$10,628,881,485,510$4,901,104,747,205Last full business day of Bush-43 administration,
1/20/2001 – 1/16/2009
1/19/2001$5,727,776,738,305Last full business day of Clinton administration
Sources:
1. https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/debt-to-the-penny/debt-to-the-penny
2. https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/historical-debt-outstanding/historical-debt-outstanding

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Tax Legislation and U.S. Government Revenue Collections

Trump’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) went into effect on January 1, 2018, and will remain in effect through December 31, 2025. The TCJA reduced tax rates in almost all brackets, but government revenue has only increased during that time as shown in the table below. This trend refutes the idea that lower tax rates reduce overall tax revenue and thereby increase the budget deficit, although increased borrowing and spending will increase the deficit as the Biden administration has done.

The TCJA’s lower tax rates reduced supply-side burdens and sparked economic growth, productivity, and job growth, all of which increased government tax revenue. The more recent low unemployment rates are largely the result of the TCJA’s reduced tax rates, although the Biden administration’s policies threaten to work against that success.

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Unemployment Rate and Employment-Population Ratio

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Stock Market: Trump vs. Biden/Harris

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Inflation by Presidential Term (December 1969 to Present)

PresidentTermCPIAs ofTotal CPI InflationOver [?] MonthsAvg. CPI AnnualizedTime Period Analyzed
Biden1st314.54July 202420.76%435.40%Dec 2020 to July 2024
Trump1st260.47Dec 20207.89%481.92%Dec 2016 to Dec 2020
Obama2nd241.43Dec 20165.15%481.26%Dec 2012 to Dec 2016
Obama1st229.60Dec 20129.21%482.23%Dec 2008 to Dec 2012
Bush 432nd210.23Dec 200810.47%482.52%Dec 2004 to Dec 2008
Bush 431st190.30Dec 20049.37%482.26%Dec 2000 to Dec 2004
Clinton2nd174.00Dec 20009.71%482.34%Dec 1996 to Dec 2000
Clinton1st158.60Dec 199611.77%482.82%Dec 1992 to Dec 1996
Bush 411st141.90Dec 199217.76%484.17%Dec 1988 to Dec 1992
Reagan2nd120.50Dec 198814.43%483.43%Dec 1984 to Dec 1988
Reagan1st105.30Dec 198422.02%485.10%Dec 1980 to Dec 1984
Carter1st86.30Dec 198048.28%4810.35%Dec 1976 to Dec 1980
Ford1st58.20Dec 197617.81%297.02%Jul 1974 to Dec 1976
Nixon2nd49.40Jul 197416.24%199.97%Dec 1972 to Jul 1974
Nixon1st42.50Dec 197212.73%364.08%Dec 1969 to Dec 1972
  37.70Dec 1969   
“CPI” values taken from “CPI Index, n.s.a.” data from source: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar.

Additional table notes:

  • “Total CPI Inflation” is the percent change in “CPI” during “Time Period Analyzed”.
  • “Avg. CPI Annualized” equals “Total CPI Inflation” scaled geometrically to a 12-month period.

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